Most people acknowledge that the earth
is finite. Yet the belief that continued material growth is possible
and desirable remains an important influence on the majority of
public and private decisions. Policy makers generally assume that
growth will provide them tomorrow with the resources required to deal
with today's problems. Promises that the poor will receive a share of
the additional goods and services created by growth are widely
substituted for any real effort to change social values or
redistribute current income. Deficit spending, high interest rates,
and the squandering of materials are all prevalent, and all are
justified in part by the claim that more income, greater
productivity, and increased resource reserves will inevitably be
available in the future.
In July 1970 the executive committee of
The Club of rome attended a seminar presented by members of the
system Dynamics Group at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
The committee had come to determine whether the system
analysistechniques developed at M.I.T. by Professor JAy W. Forrester
and his associates could provide new perspectives on the interlocking
complex of costs and benefits inherent in continued physical growth
on a finite planet. Professor Forrester brought to The Club of Rome
meeting a preliminary computer simulation model, called World2, that
specified important relationships among population, economic output,
and environmental constraints. At the meeting plans were developed
for a research program to test and extend Forrester's initial
theories. I directed the group of scientists and students involved in
that effort, and worked with my associates to prepare the material
for three reports on our research.
The Dynamics of Growth in a Finite
World, the third book in the series, presents a detailed description
of World3, the computer model that was constructed to facilitate our
understanding of growth in global population and material output.
Autores: Meadows, Dennis & Donella, Behrens, William W. & Naill, Roger F. ...
Idioma: English
Editorial: Wright-Allen press (Cambridge, Massachusetts)
1974
18x26 cm.
637 páginas. Tapas duras con sobrecubierta protegidas con plástico por anterior propietario. Firma. Muy buen estado.
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